Are U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan finally listening to their European counterparts and advocating for a softer approach on China? "Ive been focused on this mission that weve been doing. Meet the 4 candidates vying to become Mexico's president - AP NEWS Leading the polls is the highly capable Marcelo Ebrard. finds the right candidatemeaning that his chosen successor makes their way into office. There is a particular focus on Mexico City, long considered the presidents stronghold. According to Mexico's constitution, the president is elected every 6 years. Colombia, in particular, moved from partially free to free in Freedom Houses latest report, jumping six points from last year. Is it too early to predict next Mexican president? Are U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan finally listening to their European counterparts and advocating for a softer approach on China? (Anaya denies the charges and notes he was no longer in the Chamber of Deputies when the vote took place.) Only one major candidate has announced plans to run, and dynamics in each of the country's two major political parties continue to evolve. In the three-seat constituencies, two seats are allocated to the party receiving the highest number of votes and one seat to the party receiving the second-highest number of votes. MEXICO CITY (AP) Four candidates are in the race to become Mexico's next president in Sunday's election. Mexicans cast their vote at the general election every 6 years. Luis Donaldo Colosio Murrieta ( Spanish pronunciation: [lwis onal.o kolo.sjo murje.ta]; 10 February 1950 - 23 March 1994) was a Mexican politician, economist, and Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) presidential candidate, who was assassinated at a campaign rally in Tijuana during the Mexican presidential campaign of 1994 . So the new date of President's Day will fall between February 15 and the 21st each year and never on his (Washington's) actual birthday of February 22nd. That is especially true for the Morena party, which was largely built around Lpez Obrador. Brazil was able to regain its democratic footing following Bolsonaros aborted insurrection on. Is it too early to predict next Mexican president? [5] Marcelo Ebrard, current Secretary of Foreign Affairs, former presidential candidate and longtime ally of Lpez Obrador has publicly expressed his interest in being MORENA's candidate in the upcoming election. Some of his backers are urging him to declare as early as May 11, to counter the creeping national narrative that former President Donald Trump is the overwhelming front-runner for the 2024 GOP nomination. There is seldom a stronger civic tradition in the United States than filling out a ballotevery four years to elect a president. On both sides of the aisle, there is agreement that its past time tShow moreo get tough on Beijing. A poster supporting Mr. Lpez Obrador in Labor Vieja, a small community of farmers in Jalisco State. o get tough on Beijing. [10] To this end, later in that month, the leader of the senators for the governing party Morena, Ricardo Monreal vila, signaled that he would look for an extraordinary period of the Congress to address the regulation of the recall process with the proposal Federal Law of Revocation of Mandate and seeking to eliminate the phrase because of loss of confidence from the proposal. Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador won the presidential election on July 1, 2018 to become President-elect. Mexican President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador is holding a massive rally in Mexico City's main plaza with tens of thousands of people. 26 Apr 2023 17:59:59 PUERTO VALLARTA, Jalisco Leftist Mexican President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador (AMLO) is now halfway through his six-year term, and has promised to not try to stay in office when that term expires on Nov. 30, 2024. AMLO is hoping for his successor to continue his political programknown as the Fourth Transformationeven though with two years left in his presidency, his hoped-for legacy on combating poverty and inequality seems thin. Cinco de Mayo is an annual government and school holiday dedicated to the Mexican armys victory of the Battle of Puebla. Mexican presidents are limited to a single six-year term. [5] In October of the same year, the Mexican Senate approved the recall election in general, with 98 votes in favor, 22 against, and one abstention. Edited by Liz O. Baylen and Mike Benoist. The worry is that these reformsthe presidents second bite at the applesignal a larger trend away from the democratic system that has dominated in Mexico for more than two decades, making voting more difficult and reducing trust in elections. Lpez Obradors gambit is the latest in a line of incumbent power grabs in the hemisphere, including insurrections and doubt about electoral integrity stoked by former U.S. President Donald Trump and former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, former Peruvian President Pedro Castillos attempt to dissolve Congress late last year, and El Salvadorian President Nayib Bukeles widespread undermining of democratic controls. [5], Enrique Alfaro, governor of Jalisco, has expressed his desire to be the candidate of his party, the Movimiento Ciudadano. Despite Low Turnout, Mexico Voters Back President to Stay in Office President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador drew overwhelming support among those who cast ballots, but the recall referendum. The default username below has been generated using the first name and last initial on your FP subscriber account. Two other Republicans ex-South Carolina Gov. Im not a candidate, so well see if and when that changes, DeSantis said, openly annoyed by the question. Most polls show Sheinbaum as the front-runner in the race, followed by Foreign Relations Secretary Marcelo Ebrard. Please follow our comment guidelines, stay on topic, and be civil, courteous, and respectful of others beliefs. These elections were characterised by its normalcy when it comes to electoral and democracy standards. Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum and Foreign Minister. Which perspective has more value? Watchthe full discussion on video orreada lightly edited and condensed transcript, exclusive to FPInsiders. The Ukrainian government is now trapped by its own uncompromisingand increasingly indefensiblepolicy. [4], Claudia Sheinbaum, head of government of Mexico City, has been proposed as a potential successor to Lpez Obrador, on multiple occasions she has stated that "Mexico is ready to elect a female president" and enjoys the support of high ranking members of the governing MORENA party such as governors Layda Sansores of Campeche and Alfonso Durazo of Sonora. The Mexican middle class generates about 50 percent of the countrys GDP and creates eight out of every 10 jobs, according the government statistics. For the particular modifications in the Constitution, the Chamber of Deputies voted 356 in favor and 84 against. I think it was a very good turnout, taking into account very unfavorable conditions for people to vote: there was no clear opponent, there was no competition., She added: It was almost like a symbolic battle.. Commenting on this and other recent articles is just one benefit of a Foreign Policy subscription. Essential analysis of the stories shaping geopolitics on the continent. Voters will elect a new president to serve a six-year term, 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies and 128 members of the Senate. Ordorica is a journalist and analyst based in Mexico City. Mexico passes electoral overhaul that critics warn weakens democracy The GOP field is expected to get fairly crowded. Download the new FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. For the particular changes in the Constitution relative to the recall election, the Senate voted 90 in favor, 22 against. The latest news, analysis, and data from the country each week. A hint came one week after the June elections, when President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obradors party held a huge rally in Mexico state, where the governorship is up for grabs next year. A Morning Consult poll out Tuesday had Trump with a 37 percentage-point lead on DeSantis, his biggest margin to date. Do you agree that Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador, President of the United Mexican States, should have his mandate revoked due to loss of confidence or that he should continue in the Presidency of the Republic until his period concludes? This is the first national recall election in Mexico. Join the conversation on this and other recent Foreign Policy articles when you subscribe now. He is perceived as a man that would favor his own agenda before that of the Fourth Transformation and will likely be chosen only if AMLO sees no other way for MORENA to keep the presidency. Lpez Obrador thundered against the U.S. proposals. A poster supporting President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador near the Metropolitan Cathedral in the historic center in Mexico City. To find out, FPs Ravi Agrawal spoke to John Kerry, Bidens special envoy for climate. It surpassed expectations, said Blanca Heredia, a professor at CIDE, a research institution based in Mexico City. In a clear sign of movement on the campaign front, national political vendors descended on Tallahassee this week, vying for work on DeSantis forthcoming campaign. The reforms arent a done deal yet: The Mexican Supreme Court still has a say. They discussed the IRA, cooperation with China, and this years forthcoming Conference of Parties climate summit in Dubai. DeSantis, long viewed as Trumps strongest Republican challenger in 2024, has traveled far outside Florida in recent weeks to raise his profile. In 2 years, Mexicans will elect the president of the first power in Latin America and the second-largest power in all of Latin America, only behind Brazil. Download the FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. Hector Vivas/Getty Images March 23, 2023, 9:41 AM Mexican President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador has. looks to enter 2024 race, Disney sues Florida Gov. Morena has something to offer for most of the population. In the lead-up to the 2024 elections, the recall vote has served as an opportunity to fire up his base in key battlegrounds. These polls were conducted after the federal law for recall elections and the referendum question were published. Mexican general election is not a public holiday in 2023. Amid the uncertainty surroundingthe next presidential election, one thing is for sure on the firstTuesday ofNovember 2024 the public will once again face a choice: who best represents the country? And I think what is happening right now in Mexico, which is not an isolated case, there are a lot of links with what is happening in American democracy, or Brazilian democracy, or even in other parts of the world., The latest reforms were plan B, following a failed attempt at a sweeping, last December that sought even more extreme measures to restrict electoral agencies and remove their independence. Create an FP account to save articles to read later and in the FP mobile app. The president has struggled to follow through on key campaign promises, with his approval rating slipping to 59 percent last month from 66 percent in December, according to a poll from El Economista newspaper. ', Stay up to date on political news: Sign up for our OnPolitics newsletter. Mexicos middle class, disenfranchised by the political system, including some of whom did vote for AMLO last time around, are now saying, What do I get from my government? The backsliding trend across the Americas is especially marked by the closing of civic spaces and civil society, attacks on democratic institutions from within, incumbent institutional restructuring, impunity for corruption, disregard for human rights, and the influence of other actors like organized crime networks and anti-democratic forces from China, Russia, Iran, and Cuba, Berthin said. The Change of Federal Government Mexico is a Statutory holiday in Mexico that takes place very six years. The reforms, spearheaded by Lpez Obrador, would slash the agencys budget, shrink civil service staffing, and strip the agencys independence ahead of the 2024 presidential elections. Some of these polls asked if the respondents approved of the president, not necessarily their stance on the referendum. After suspending preparations, the decision for suspension was revoked by the Supreme Court's recess commission and the Federal Electoral Tribunal, which ordered the INE to perform the consultation. The president today is popularly elected to a single six-year term and has the power to select a cabinet, the attorney general, diplomats, high-ranking military officers, and Supreme Court justices (who serve life terms). [2], The 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies are elected by two methods; 300 are elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting, with the remaining 200 elected in a single nationwide constituency by proportional representation, with seats allocated using the simple quotient and largest remainder method. Although the reforms represent a real threat to democracy, said former Mexican Foreign Minister Jorge Castaeda, he remains optimistic that theyll be struck down. Monreal has been the presidents ally for the past two decades. Blas Ramos, 69, an electrical engineer, held up a sign reading Get out of Mexico, FBI, CIA, Gringos!. And I think that at this stage, the government doesnt have the four secure votes that it needs in the Supreme Court for it to be sustained.. Matt Dixon is a senior national politics reporter for NBC News, based in Florida. As long as institutions are being undermined by personalistic or. Hosted by Sabrina Tavernise. On the one hand, supporters of U.S. President Joe Biden point out that his White House has overseen a dramatic U-turn from the Show moredays of the Trump administration in terms of promoting decarbonization and clean energy and should be lauded for passing the (admittedly strangely titled) Inflation Reduction Act. When is the next presidential election? What to know about 2024 race He rose quickly through the conservative national ranks by taking a hands-off approach to the pandemic and placing Florida on the vanguard of conservatives biggest culture war fights. Mexico's constitution of 1917 established economic and political principles for the country, including the role of its president. But more than 90 percent of those who did turn out voted in favor of the president completing his six-year term, according to preliminary results from Mexicos electoral watchdog. Lpez Obradors Reforms Threaten Mexican Democracy. This train is already in motion, somebody just to get aboard and drive it.. The members of the legislature elected on this date will be the first allowed to run for re-election in subsequent elections. The Current One Has Too Much to Say,, the countrys middle class, accusing them of being ambitious, selfish and determined to succeed at any cost.. Here's why Mexico's president is launching a vote to recall himself And here is why: If the middle classes come out in mass to vote, AMLOs party will lose, especially since the president has repeatedly taken aim at the countrys middle class, accusing them of being ambitious, selfish and determined to succeed at any cost.. Alberto Martnez, 59, said he hoped Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum would be the party's nominee. He is the only Republican who can beat Joe Biden. U.S. legal . But far from the seismic shift that a recall referendum of a president might have brought, this vote appears to have merely underscored the acrimony of Mexican politics. The best example of the authenticity of his Good Neighbor policy was his respect for our nation's sovereignty," Lpez Obrador said of Roosevelt. 1. Thats a reversal of fortune for DeSantis, who over the past year has generally been competitive with Trump in one-on-one Republican primary polls. Keep up with the world without stopping yours. Mexican President's Party Wins Most States in Sunday Elections - US News In His Fight Against Democracy, Mexico's President Is a Heavy Favorite . There are no charismatic silver bullets waiting in the wings to be thrust forward by any party, no political superstar with charisma, intelligence, political savvy, massive campaign funds or any combination there of, who will do the trick. Here's a glance at the hopefuls: Presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, of the MORENA party, gives a thumbs up to supporters at the end of his closing campaign rally at Azteca stadium in Mexico City, Wednesday, June 27 . is keeping quiet in an attitude that is totally undemocratic and contrary to the Constitution, Mr. Lpez Obrador said at a recent news conference ahead of the referendum, using the institutes Spanish initials. Mexican citizens cast their votes during the general election (Elecciones generales de Mxico) on the first Sunday of July every 6 years. EXCLUSIVE 2024 Election Ron DeSantis is set to jump into the 2024 presidential fray in mid-May The Florida governor is poised to launch his presidential exploratory committee next month.. The president of Mexico cannot be re-elected after serving a six-year term, according to the countrys constitution. They are hiding the ballot boxes, he added. [7] In December, once endorsed by 17 state congresses, the decree was published in the Official Journal of the Federation. Members of Congress and voters are choosing the fight they think is more important.. The mayor of Monterrey, Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, son of a prominent politician who was assassinated while running for the presidency in 1994, has been included in some polls, but has not said he is interested in running for the presidency. [1/3] Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador gestures during a news conference after nearly 92% of voters backed him to stay in office in a recall election with a low turnout, according to . Mexican general election in Mexico But the next three weeks could be among the most crucial in shaping the contours of the U.S. presidential race. Presidents' Day 2022 - Calendar Date Claudia Sheinbaum is currently perceived as the presidents closest ally, and his favorite choice of successor after she has worked hand in hand with him for the past three decades. General elections are scheduled to be held in Mexico in July 2024. She also lacks AMLOs charisma, which may limit her broader appeal. The backsliding would be returning to something where you guarantee that you close a space for opposition parties, Cruz said. 2022 Mexican presidential recall referendum, LXIII Legislature of the Mexican Congress, "Mxico: Autoridad electoral aprueba convocatoria para revocacin de mandato", "Mexican presidential recall referendum wins enough support: poll body", "El pueblo pone, el pueblo quita: AMLO propone revocacin de mandato", "Revocacin de mandato no es reeleccin: presidente AMLO", "AMLO rechaza buscar reeleccin en Mxico y se compromete a referendo revocatorio", "Senado aprueba Revocacin de Mandato; "huele a reeleccin", acusan panistas", "Publican en el DOF disposiciones sobre consulta popular y revocacin de mandato", "AMLO plantea adelantar revocacin de su mandato para 2021", "Lpez Obrador anuncia referendo revocatorio de su mandato", "Revocacin de mandato: Monreal empuja extraordinario para modificar la pregunta", "Impide oposicin nuevo periodo extra para ley de revocacin", "Lpez Obrador resiste el desgaste y mantiene una aprobacin del 59% a las puertas de la revocacin de mandato", "Si hoy fuera la consulta de revocacin de mandato, AMLO sigue o se va? Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, left, and Secretary of the Interior Adn Augusto Lpez, pictured in September 2021. There are more than 1,900 mayoral contests and local . Join FPs Ravi Agrawal for a discussion with FP columnist Steven A. Cook and Gonul Tol, the founding director of the Turkey program at the Middle East Institute. We, as Mexicans, were worried about what was happening in Brazilthe largest democracy in Latin Americabecause we are aware of a domino effect. A launch in mid-May would help alleviate growing frustrations among potential supporters who are concerned that DeSantis risks squandering the momentum that had made him so attractive as a Trump alternative in the first place. The presidents attention is devoted to lining up a successor, but several figures in the ruling party want the nomination. Politics, Business & Culture in the Americas. Among the worst-performing countries in the region are Venezuela, Nicaragua, Cuba, and most recently, Haiti. Delivered Wednesday & Sunday. Approval Tracker: Mexico's President AMLO | AS/COA On the other side, the opposition viewed the exercise as an attempt to shore up the presidents hold on power. This is a movement that began a long time ago, he said. Lpez Obradors Reforms Threaten Mexican Democracy. The economy contracted 8.5% in 2020, though it is now clawing back . Ramos was confident that the president's movement, which he calls the fourth transformation of Mexico, would not end when he leaves office in September 2024. According to Freedom Houses latest Freedom in the World report, nine of the 35 countries in the Americas saw a decline in their scores since last year. So what is there to predict if the poor have the numbers and are willing to sell their votes to the highest bidder? Presidential elections and congressionalmidterm elections are always held in even numberedyears (e.g. Disney sues DeSantis, as the Florida Gov. The Race Begins for Mexico's Next President But they will likely have the opposite effect and help usher Lpez Obradors preferred successor into office. : Your everyday questions, answered. A curated selection of our very best long reads. Ricardo Monreal, the highest-ranking senator from MORENA also has ambitions to be the partys presidential candidatebut he wasnt invited. in a situation where it cannot fulfill its duties, said Lorenzo Crdova, the leader of the electoral agency. Perhaps conscious of recent tensions with the United States over U.S. overdose deaths from fentanyl smuggled in from Mexico, Lpez Obrador spent part of his speech praising former U.S. Franklin Delano Roosevelt, who didn't actively oppose the 1938 oil expropriation despite the fact many of the firms were American. Policymakers in Washington dont agree about much, but theres a striking bipartisan consensus on one issue: China. Under Mexican law, presidents can serve only a single six-year term. This is a process, that will take 30, 40 years. Lopez Obrador's successor is scheduled to be elected in June 2024. A pugnacious leftist, Lpez Obrador was the architect of the first so-called recall referendum in modern Mexico, describing it as vital to confirm his democratic mandate. If possible, verify the text with references provided in the foreign-language article. : 3 clues to track and his approval rating isn't one of them. So, with a budget that was about half as much as what it said it needed, the watchdog set up far fewer ballot boxes than it would have in a presidential election. Mexican presidential front-runner Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador heads into Sunday's watershed election with a substantial lead in the polls and the hopes of a country disenchanted with . The day marks the new president of Mexico taking office. The process to nominate a presidential candidate for his Morena party will begin later this year. If you find an error, please let us know. Mr. Lpez Obrador is limited to one six-year term by the Constitution, but as his partys key power broker, he is expected to play a vital role in picking a successor to carry on his legacy. A July 22 editorial in the Washington Post, which admittedly is not a great fan of AMLO, titled Who Will Be Mexicos Next President? AMERICAS SOCIETY/COUNCIL OF THE AMERICAS. Mexican president wins 90% backing in leadership vote he sought Were going to end up making it pretty much around the world by the time were done. LXIII Legislature of the Mexican Congress, "De Claudia Sheinbaum a Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas: Las 23 'corcholatas' presidenciables para 2024", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_Mexican_general_election&oldid=1151554949, Short description is different from Wikidata, Pages using embedded infobox templates with the title parameter, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 24 April 2023, at 19:39. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. Anyone can read what you share. Mexicans cast their vote at the general election every 6 years. Nov. 5, 2024 . After that, the party's candidate is likely to take center stage. And other countries are operating, at present, without notable interruptions, including Argentina, which will hold federal elections later this year, as well as Uruguay, which has elections in 2024. But he would settle for anyone Morena choose. Privacy & Terms. Though it was called to commemorate Mexico's 1938 expropriation of the oil industry, many of those attending the rally Saturday agreed that it was the de-facto opening salvo to the 2024 elections that will choose the presidents successor. The meetings come at a precarious national moment for DeSantis. Delivered Friday. Your guide to the most important world stories of the day. 2021 Elections in Latin America: A Preview | AS/COA MEXICO CITY After a successful showing in gubernatorial elections in June, Mexicos ruling MORENA party is turning its attention to the 2024 presidential elections. Mexican President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador has flatlined the countrys economy, damaged its energy sector, and silenced critics. By gutting the INE, one of the countrys most revered and respected agencies, Lpez Obrador threatens to end the longest period of political stability and democratic governance in Mexicos modern historymuch of which has been owed to the watchdog role played by the INE. He campaigned on Hugs, Not Bullets. Now, hes militarized the country. And just how far will Washington go in supporting Taiwan? At Long Last, the Foreign Service Gets the Netflix Treatment, A BRICS Currency Could Shake the Dollars Dominance, Biden Is Rewriting the Rules on Tradeand Americans Should Be Worried, In Sudan, U.S. Policies Paved the Way for War, Adam Tooze: When National Security Trumps All, John Kerry: The IRA Is Working on Overdrive. the governments unpopular economic policies and its slow response to the Feb. 6 earthquake, which claimed more than 50,000 lives. Lpez Obrador, whose grievances with the INE date back to his failed 2006 and 2012 presidential bids, said these changes would guarantee clean and free elections. It feels like a team that is staffing up, not scaling down.. El sexenio de Lpez Obrador durar poco menos de 6 aos y la causa de esto, no es un 'complot', ms bien se debe a que as lo establece la ley en materia poltica-electoral tras una reforma aprobada el 10 de febrero de 2014 . Luis Barron / Eyepix Groupn/Future Publishing via Getty Images. Join FPs Ravi Agrawal for a discussion with FP columnist Steven A. Cook and Gonul Tol, the founding director of the Turkey program at the Middle East Institute. Brazil was able to regain its democratic footing following Bolsonaros aborted insurrection on Jan. 8.
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